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Thursday, 9 September 2010
One Great George Street, Westminster, London Covering:
International Macro
UK Macro

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Subscribe to Oxford Economics' Study on European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Our clients in both the private and public sectors are justifiably very concerned about the European Debt Crisis and how it is likely to develop in the next few months and beyond. Although markets are a bit quieter at the moment, this crisis has not gone away. It is critical to consider its possible implications to plan how to deal with them. Oxford Economics has launched a syndicated research project to examine how this crisis is likely to unfold and to develop and quantify a number of scenarios that reflect the key macro-economic and sector risks.
The aim is to provide participants in the project with a practical guide to anticipating and dealing with the likely outcomes. Please click on the link below for more details. As you will see, in addition to a report on the findings, we are planning to hold an event for participants. The project will be completed by end September.   15 August 2010
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Why have G7 unemployment rates diverged?

Since the onset of the recession in 2008, there has been a sharp divergence in the performance of labour markets across the G7 economies. Although one may expect that these cross-country variations in labour market performance would be related to differences in the depth of the recent recession, this is not the case. Econometric evidence suggests that the relationship between unemployment and output varies considerably between the G7 economies and through time. Our results confirm that the performance of labour markets during the recent recession has been unusual, particularly for the US and Germany. This article examines the reasons underlying these differential labour market developments and compares prospects for a cyclical recovery in employment.  22 July 2010
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China – labour becomes more demanding

Recent weeks have seen a rise in labour unrest in China with the outbreak of a series of seemingly connected strikes. With rising CPI inflation, wage demands are increasing. This could mark the beginning of a shift towards the greater bargaining power of labour. In turn, this could help to rebalance the economy towards greater consumption as a share of GDP, as the dependence on exports becomes a less viable high-growth strategy for the long term in the wake of subdued global demand.  5 July 2010
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By-Country Industry Forecast Service

We are publishing new on-line reports providing detailed forecasts for prospects in over 80 industrial sectors across 68 different economies. The new service provides:

• Forecasts for output growth on an annual basis over the next 10 years for over 80 sectors
• Charts and tables highlighting key industrial output trends, past and future
• Access to our Sectoral Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts to download for your own analysis and reports
• Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Industrial Model

View example forecasts:
             Poland          China

See full range of countries covered ....

Country Economic Forecast Service

We are publishing new on-line country economic forecasts every day covering economic and political developments and prospects in over 175 countries, linked to our forecast databank:

• Tailor-made for busy executives, the forecasts tell you everything you need to know for your business planning
• Access to our Macro Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts for a host of economic and social indicators plus detailed tourism statistics
• Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Model (the most widely used commercial model in the world)

View example forecasts:
             Thailand          Germany          Czech Republic

See full range of countries covered ....